ROOT · Root Inc — Data Investors

Today's signals

graded · out-of-time

Target	P(hit)	Base	Edge
+5% / 5d	0.65	0.54	+0.11

Each row is a separate production model; edge is P(hit) minus the trailing-year base rate for that target (base minus P(hit) on downside targets). Green edge means the model beats chance today.

Hit rate — model vs base

trailing year

Model = realized hit rate on sessions where the production model printed P(hit) ≥ 0.5; base = all graded sessions.

Price & barrier · ROOT daily, split-adjusted

+5% barrier · $58.47

Split-adjusted OHLC with volume. A +5%/5d signal wins if the high crosses the dashed barrier within five sessions of entry. Drag the slider — or pick the magnifier and highlight an area — to zoom.

Production model predictions · out-of-time, signed

one line per target

One line per production model: upside targets plot their P(hit) as-is, downside targets plot negative (0.9 on the −5%/5d model prints as −0.9). Short-horizon models draw fully opaque; opacity fades toward 20% as the holding window approaches 242 sessions. Click a legend entry to hide a model.

Market cap & P/E

split-true shares

Daily as-reported share counts × raw close — correct through splits; P/E on trailing-4q net income.

Quarterly fundamentals

publish-dated

SEC-derived quarterly revenue and net income; values join the dataset only after their filing timestamp.

EPS · actual vs estimate

graded

Reported EPS against the consensus estimate; the gap prints as surprise.

Forward estimates

today's vintage

Period	Horizon	Low	Avg	High	30d ago	Analysts
2026-09-30	fiscal quarter	0.29	0.41	0.53	0.39	2
2026-12-31	fiscal year	3.10	3.34	3.58	3.21	2
2027-12-31	fiscal year	2.50	3.06	3.62	3.05	2

Consensus EPS estimates as scraped today; vintages are archived daily and never overwritten.

Financial statements

Quarterly as-reported figures from the Alpha Vantage statements feed — cross-check data; the modeled fundamentals stay SEC-sourced and publish-dated.

News sentiment · relevance-weighted

daily volume + 3d / 10d

Daily article volume with 3- and 10-day relevance-weighted sentiment; after-hours news rolls to the next session.

Latest headlines

publish-dated

Published	Headline	Source	Relevance	Sentiment
Jun 26, 04:40	Root, Inc. Class A Actuals & Estimates (NASDAQ:ROOT)	TradingView	0.34	0.03
Jun 23, 16:41	Root, Inc. (ROOT) CAO reports RSU tax-withholding share disposition	Stock Titan	0.31	0.02
Jun 23, 10:39	5 Small-Cap Stocks to Buy No Matter the Headlines	Sahm	0.99	0.46
Jun 16, 16:08	Root, Inc. (ROOT) CAO has 490 shares withheld to cover RSU taxes	Stock Titan	0.30	0.03
Jun 12, 06:40	Earnings Scheduled For June 12, 2026	Sahm	0.35	0.05
Jun 8, 15:40	Root (NASDAQ: ROOT) shareholders back charter change and director slate	Stock Titan	1.00	0.13
Jun 5, 02:39	Root (ROOT) director Doug Ulman granted 2,864 RSUs and updates trust holdings	Stock Titan	0.33	0.03
Jun 4, 17:09	Root, Inc. (ROOT) director awarded 2,864 restricted stock units	Stock Titan	1.00	0.15

Insider net flow

90-day window

Net insider notional (buys − sells) over trailing 90 sessions; trades surface after the 2-day Form-4 deadline.

Recent insider trades

Form 4

Date	Insider	Type	Shares	Price
June 22, 2026	FORISH, RYAN Chief Accounting Officer	Sell	294	$51.07
June 15, 2026	FORISH, RYAN Chief Accounting Officer	Sell	490	$54.86
June 3, 2026	ULMAN, DOUG Director	Buy	2864	—
June 3, 2026	SZUDAREK, JULIE Director	Buy	2864	—
June 3, 2026	KRAMER, NANCY J Director	Buy	2864	—
June 3, 2026	HILSHEIMER, LAWRENCE A. Director	Buy	2864	—
June 3, 2026	DORSEY, DONNA Director	Buy	2864	—
June 3, 2026	DEVARD, JERRI Director	Buy	2864	—

Institutional holders

13F · June 30, 2026

204

holders

82

increased

93

decreased

Holder	Shares	Change
RIBBIT MANAGEMENT COMPANY	1M	+0.0%
T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEME…	1M	+25.2%
BLACKROCK	1M	+0.4%
VANGUARD GROUP INC	1M	-0.2%
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC	1M	—
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS	0M	-27.1%
FINDELL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC	0M	+59.6%
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT	0M	+2.8%
STATE STREET CORP	0M	+3.0%
GALILEO	0M	+0.0%

Top 10 of 204 filers; aggregates final 45 days after quarter end.

Corporate actions & calls

events

0:1

split · Aug. 15, 2022

Earnings call	Segments	Avg sentiment
2026Q1	46	0.20
2025Q4	31	0.26
2025Q3	25	0.22
2025Q2	34	0.28

Dividends, splits, and per-call transcript sentiment from the weekly scrape.